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    Published on 05-03-2012 07:23 PM
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    The psychology of the market may be teetering on the edge
    By Elliott Wave International

    The stock market: one week it acts like Dr. Jekyll, the next week it's Mr. Hyde.

    That shift can even occur in the course of a single session.

    These dramatic fluctuations appear to be impulsive; and we know that impulse does not flow from cold reason. Even so, the Efficient Market Hypothesis would have us believe that investors are constantly applying reason and logic ...
    Published on 04-05-2012 09:23 PM
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    Is now the time to gamble with retirement?
    By Elliott Wave International

    To meet ambitious investment return targets, some public pension funds must now swing for the fences.

    But many are down two strikes already, due to their previous big bets with hedge funds.

    ....the [pension] funds with a third to more than half of their money in private equity, hedge funds and real estate had returns that were more than a percentage point lower than returns of the
    ...
    Published on 03-09-2012 03:41 PM
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    What's really going on?
    By Elliott Wave International

    As pundits chatter about an economic recovery, 80 miles east of San Francisco you'll find a city (pop. 292,000) facing bankruptcy:

    Stockton is on the verge of becoming the largest city in the United States to declare bankruptcy...

    San Francisco Chronicle (3/4)


    Bloomberg
    reports (2/25) that it costs the city $175,000 just to get a consulting firm's fiscal evaluation. Management Partners issued a report which said:
    ...
    Published on 02-08-2012 09:20 PM
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    EWI's new eBook helps you identify trading opportunities
    By Elliott Wave International

    Elliott waves often correct in terms of Fibonacci ratios. The following article, adapted from the eBook How You Can Use Fibonacci to Improve Your Trading, explains what you can expect when a market begins a corrective phase. Learn how you can read the entire 14-page eBook below.



    Retracements -- Corrective Waves

    If we look on the left side of this chart, we see a diagram of ...
    Published on 02-08-2012 09:12 PM
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    This chart debunks a long-held myth.
    By Elliott Wave International

    Back in the day, one of the first things I "learned" about investing was that low or declining interest rates are good for stock prices.


    I've since had to "unlearn" this.


    A certain market commentator recently reminded me of the "lower rates equal higher stocks" myth. He opined that stocks aren't being kept afloat by hopes for a European debt solution, but then claimed that the real reason ...
    Published on 01-17-2012 12:43 PM
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    Earnings season is now upon us and so far the only major earnings component that has been released is the J.P. Morgan earnings report that came in Friday before the market opened. After the report was digested by the marketplace, prices fell dramatically.

    While the charlatans in Washington try to sell the American public into believing that the U.S economy is starting to firm up, the underlying truth is that the recovery has been relatively week. If it were not for the massive liquidity
    ...
    Published on 01-13-2012 08:03 PM
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    Close to ninety percent of all traders lose money. The remaining ten percent somehow manage to either break even or even turn a profit -- and more importantly, do it consistently. How do they do that?

    That's an age-old question. While there is no magic formula, EWI Senior Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful. We don't claim to have found The Holy Grail of trading here, but sometimes ...
    Published on 01-10-2012 04:09 PM
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    A look back on 18 months of analysis and reports on the European Credit Crisis
    By Elliott Wave International


    In 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. Barely a decade later, the once-celebrated EU is in the midst of a credit crisis and its currency is facing collapse.

    Elliott Wave International's analysts have been anticipating and tracking the credit contagion across the European nations for the past ...
    Published on 01-09-2012 05:40 PM
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    Plus: The check is STILL in the mail.
    By Elliott Wave International

    "Localities have chopped 535,000 positions since September 2008..."

    USA Today (10/18)

    Cuts in government services became conspicuous after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The first edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash saw this coming, even though the book published nearly a decade ago:

    "Don't expect government services to remain at their current levels...The tax receipts that
    ...
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