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Thread: Delta and Time Cycles

  1. #41
    Market Maker Kenny's Avatar
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    As the last MTD was skewed so much by the larger trend, this ITD roto is a tough one but I think it works best as the 12th as a low.
    "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" --Warren Buffett--

  2. #42
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    Yes, looking by todays price action, I think you might be correct.

  3. #43
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    Kenny - What do you think to the idea that the ITD 7 is coming as a HIGH on the 12th March, and that is the b wave ?

  4. #44
    Market Maker Kenny's Avatar
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    Could still be ITD 7 is a high as the ITD timings are still getting skewed due to the strength of the larger cycles......but would doubt it is the 'b' wave.
    "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" --Warren Buffett--

  5. #45
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    ITD 11 HIGH due today.

  6. #46
    new moon over the weekend and you have to wonder if the cit will be delayed until then

  7. #47
    Market Maker Kenny's Avatar
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    S&P 500 Delta Time Cycles Analysis Update 11 May 2012

    "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" --Warren Buffett--

  8. #48
    Market Maker Kenny's Avatar
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    Delta Cycle CIT Windows

    Post copied to this thread for future information purposes.

    ================================================== =============
    I have the CIT centred on the weekend again but unfortunately as ever it is not quite that simple.

    Bear in mind that in Delta, there is no 'Official' CIT dates and instead have 'windows' of time based on averages where they can be expected to occur. Delta is a 'theory' which then needs to be applied to individual markets to find the averages of the time windows for that market so every market is different. Even then you will always have exceptions to the normal.

    It is also open to interpretation and is why you get some analysts looking at the same chart but one is looking for the markets to rise whilst the other a decline and at different times.

    The Delta based CIT's I give here are my interpretation of the 'averages' and are the 'Centred' dates but the CIT's should be expected to occur within a window of time 'centred' on these dates.

    To explain it a little, looking at this chart from the Hurst Cycles article....You can clearly see that in the down trend the cycles have a short rise into the high giving the CIT high a 'left' of centre slant and the down leg is much longer into the next CIT low.

    Conversely, in an up trend the rise into the CIT high is much longer than the decline into the next low and gives a 'right' of centre slant to the cycle high CIT.


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    "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" --Warren Buffett--

  9. #49
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    Kenny - Do you think the ITD 5 is looking more and more like a HIGH ?

  10. #50
    Market Maker Kenny's Avatar
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    Delta Charts at 22 June 2012

    It is still possible that the Red MTD cycle can invert so we have to consider this possibility that the Blue ITD did not invert and the Blue 2 came in very late instead which means that the high was ITD 5 and only 1 day late, although this does not work quite as well for me and is why I consider it lower odds to the preferred scenario posted.
    I still consider it to be the alt at the moment but even if ITD5 was the high the Red MTD 1 should now be sealed at the high so 1363 is now the make or break.

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    "Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing" --Warren Buffett--

  11. #51
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    I have ITD 7 due as a HIGH on 9th/10th July.

  12. #52
    thanks Chester.

    I think Kenny has a cycle low due at the end of July and 23-25 July is my favoured time

  13. #53
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    I presently have ITD 8 LOW due 23rd July.

  14. #54
    Chester, how does one calculate the ITD dates? Is there a link somewhere? Thanks.

  15. #55
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    Hi griz. I have the software which tend to give me the points in advance. I must state interpreting where the highs and lows are coming can be difficult and it's often quite 'messy'.
    At present I think ITD 10 low is due on Aug 7th.

  16. #56
    Quote Originally Posted by dazzauk View Post
    Kenny, I was just housekeeping my pc at work and I've found a copy of the delta.pdf from Khalsaspad. What's the best way to load it up into the forums - I dont seem to be able to attach anything (I can email it to you if that's easier)? Cheers, Darren
    HI Kenny, This is back in 2011. Did he ever send that pdf or is it the one Tepid made?
    Jerry
    Last edited by JerryO; 04-04-2017 at 03:30 PM. Reason: one

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